For Europe, Afghanistan will not be a repeat of 2015

[...] The present situation unfolding in Afghanistan reminds many of 2015. But looking back, it is clear that welcoming refugees does not necessarily mean attracting more in the long run, and fears of creating a pull effect by appearing welcoming under exceptional circumstances are overblown.

The German case clearly shows states’ capacity to regulate migration, even after declaring a “migrant-friendly” stance. And when it comes to Afghanistan, the situation is even more straightforward, as evacuations are restricted to those who supported Western forces. However, in the end, Merkel’s decision did have one crucial outcome that shouldn’t be ignored: It provided safety and better living conditions for millions fleeing from war. [...]

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